The 2024 presidential campaign for Donald Trump has recently responded to a national poll, criticizing its alleged bias concerning Americans’ approval of trying the former president on charges of mishandling national security documents prior to the election.
The poll, conducted by Politico Magazine and Ipsos, revealed that a significant majority of U.S. adults (57%) believe that the 77-year-old should face a court preceding the Republican primaries. Furthermore, a larger fraction (62%) opines that legal proceedings should proceed before the general election.
The Trump campaign released an internal memo from pollster John McLaughlin, who argued that the survey suffered from “bias and spin.”
According to McLaughlin, the Politico/Ipsos poll favored Democratic respondents over Republicans in relation to the 2020 electorate, thereby engendering a “6-to-7-point bias” against the 45th U.S. president.
McLaughlin further highlighted that the survey indicated merely one quarter of Americans claim a thorough understanding of the case concerning the classified documents. Despite this, the same respondents, referred to as “largely uninformed adults,” were solicited for their judgment before responding to “process questions.”
In McLaughlin’s words, “The questionnaire finds President Trump guilty and then wants to rush the trials, which Politico is overeager to write up.” He argued that this contradicted other polls, including those from YouGov, Messenger, Rasmussen Reports, and Harvard Harris, which show Trump leading over Joe Biden.
The pollster observed that other surveys have shown that a majority of voters perceive the indictments against Trump by both special counsel Jack Smith and Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg as politically charged.
Earlier in the year, Bragg revealed a 34-count indictment against Trump for allegedly falsifying business records related to concealed payments to adult film actress Stormy Daniels prior to the 2016 election. In June, Smith disclosed a 37-count indictment claiming Trump had kept sensitive classified information from the Justice Department and FBI, later obstructing justice by denying these actions.
The Manhattan case is slated to commence in March of the coming year, whereas the federal case in Miami is expected to begin in December this year.
In the Politico/Ipsos poll, Republican respondents were divided on whether Trump should stand trial before their party’s primary ends, with 42% supporting and 40% opposing. Nearly half (46%) advocated for a trial before the general election.
Independents, at 47%, agreed on a trial preceding the GOP primary. Most Democrats (77%), however, argued for a trial before the Republican primary, and 86% support a trial before the 2024 election.
About two-thirds of Americans expressed an understanding of the charges in both Trump cases, with slightly more Democrats reporting a high level of knowledge about the indictments.
Since 2000, McLaughlin & Associates has analyzed 28 polls with an accuracy rate of 70%, according to the FiveThirtyEight polling aggregator ratings.
The survey, conducted on June 27 and June 28, sampled 1,005 adults online in English, including 374 Republicans, 441 Democrats, and 122 independents.